How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Mineros de Zacatecas, at 39.3%. The other outcomes represent 60.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 35.5% · Draw: 25.3% · Away win: 39.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1401; Mineros de Zacatecas 1498. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga de Expansión MX · Friday, Oct 30 2026
· 01:00
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Elo 1401
1
-
0
Mineros de Zacatecas
Elo 1498
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
-97
H2H (1)
1H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Alebrijes de Oaxaca1401
Mineros de Zacatecas1498
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
1Alebrijes de Oaxaca
0Draws
0Mineros de Zacatecas
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
35%
Draw
25%
Away
39%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
20%
No
80%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
68%
No
32%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
29%
Draw
41%
Away
30%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
WRONG
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.