How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Saburtalo II, at 77.8%. The other outcomes represent 22.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 77.8% · Draw: 15.3% · Away win: 6.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Saburtalo II 1617; Betlemi 1248. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga 3 · Friday, Oct 30 2026
· 11:00
Saburtalo II
Elo 1617
vs
Betlemi
Elo 1248
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
+369
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Saburtalo II1617
Betlemi1248
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Saburtalo II
0Draws
0Betlemi
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
78% conf.
Home
78%
Draw
15%
Away
7%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
91% conf.
Yes
9%
No
91%
Home Clean Sheet
51% conf.
Yes
49%
No
51%
Double Chance 1X
97% conf.
Yes
97%
No
3%
Double Chance X2
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Half-Time Result
57% conf.
Home
57%
Draw
33%
Away
10%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
70% conf.
Yes
70%
No
30%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.