How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Safa, at 61.7%. The other outcomes represent 38.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 20.1% · Draw: 18.2% · Away win: 61.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Tadamon Sour 1504; Safa 1752. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Friday, Oct 30 2026
· 12:15
Tadamon Sour
Elo 1504
vs
Safa
Elo 1752
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
-248
Elo rating comparison
Tadamon Sour1504
Safa1752
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Tadamon Sour
—Draws
—Safa
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
62% conf.
Home
20%
Draw
18%
Away
62%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Home Clean Sheet
87% conf.
Yes
13%
No
87%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance X2
81% conf.
Yes
81%
No
19%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
Home
22%
Draw
36%
Away
43%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
76% conf.
Yes
76%
No
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
Yes
11%
No
89%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.