How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Ural U20, at 43.4%. The other outcomes represent 56.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 43.4% · Draw: 25.4% · Away win: 31.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Ural U20 1395; Nizhny Novgorod U19 1383. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Youth Championship · Friday, Oct 30 2026
· 08:00
Ural U20
Elo 1395
1
-
0
Nizhny Novgorod U19
Elo 1383
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+12
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Ural U201395
Nizhny Novgorod U191383
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Ural U20
0Draws
2Nizhny Novgorod U19
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
43% conf.
CORRECT
Home
43%
Draw
25%
Away
31%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
23%
No
77%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
WRONG
Home
35%
Draw
38%
Away
27%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.