How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Barki Tajik, at 37.3%. The other outcomes represent 62.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 37.3% · Draw: 26.4% · Away win: 36.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Barki Tajik 1519; Khosilot Farkhor 1583. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Vysshaya Liga · Friday, Oct 30 2026
· 12:00
Barki Tajik
Elo 1519
1
-
1
Khosilot Farkhor
Elo 1583
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-64
H2H (4)
0H
0D
4A
Elo rating comparison
Barki Tajik1519
Khosilot Farkhor1583
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Barki Tajik
0Draws
4Khosilot Farkhor
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
37% conf.
WRONG
Home
37%
Draw
26%
Away
36%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
CORRECT
Home
28%
Draw
40%
Away
31%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.