How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Mahasarakham United, at 37.7%. The other outcomes represent 62.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 37.7% · Draw: 30.7% · Away win: 31.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Mahasarakham United 1512; Chanthaburi 1565. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Thai League 2 · Friday, Oct 30 2026
· 12:00
Mahasarakham United
Elo 1512
1
-
0
Chanthaburi
Elo 1565
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
-54
Elo rating comparison
Mahasarakham United1512
Chanthaburi1565
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Mahasarakham United
—Draws
—Chanthaburi
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
38% conf.
CORRECT
Home
38%
Draw
31%
Away
32%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Clean Sheet
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
27%
No
73%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
WRONG
Home
34%
Draw
40%
Away
26%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.