How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Aerostar Bacau, at 54.1%. The other outcomes represent 45.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 54.1% · Draw: 24% · Away win: 22%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Aerostar Bacau 1463; FC Bacău II 1348. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga III - Serie 1 · Friday, Oct 30 2026
· 13:00
Aerostar Bacau
Elo 1463
vs
FC Bacău II
Elo 1348
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
+115
H2H (3)
1H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Aerostar Bacau1463
FC Bacău II1348
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
1Aerostar Bacau
0Draws
2FC Bacău II
3 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
54% conf.
Home
54%
Draw
24%
Away
22%
Both Teams to Score
66% conf.
Yes
66%
No
34%
Away Clean Sheet
89% conf.
Yes
11%
No
89%
Home Clean Sheet
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
54% conf.
Yes
46%
No
54%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
Home
44%
Draw
35%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 1.5 Goals
88% conf.
Yes
88%
No
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf.
Yes
48%
No
52%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.