How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Progresul Mogosoaia, at 43.1%. The other outcomes represent 56.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 31.9% · Draw: 25% · Away win: 43.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Axi Adunații-Copăceni 1360; Progresul Mogosoaia 1481. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga III - Serie 5 · Friday, Oct 30 2026
· 13:00
Axi Adunații-Copăceni
Elo 1360
vs
Progresul Mogosoaia
Elo 1481
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Elo Advantage
-121
Elo rating comparison
Axi Adunații-Copăceni1360
Progresul Mogosoaia1481
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Axi Adunații-Copăceni
—Draws
—Progresul Mogosoaia
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
43% conf.
Home
32%
Draw
25%
Away
43%
Both Teams to Score
62% conf.
Yes
62%
No
38%
Away Clean Sheet
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Clean Sheet
87% conf.
Yes
13%
No
87%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
72% conf.
Yes
72%
No
28%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
Home
25%
Draw
36%
Away
39%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
Yes
87%
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
Yes
46%
No
54%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
Yes
11%
No
89%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.