How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Beroe, at 36.1%. The other outcomes represent 63.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 34.4% · Draw: 29.5% · Away win: 36.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 1655; Beroe 1708. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Second League · Friday, Oct 30 2026
· 15:30
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
Elo 1655
2
-
0
Beroe
Elo 1708
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Elo Advantage
-54
Elo rating comparison
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa1655
Beroe1708
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
—Draws
—Beroe
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
36% conf.
WRONG
Home
34%
Draw
29%
Away
36%
Both Teams to Score
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
62%
No
38%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
66%
No
34%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
WRONG
Home
28%
Draw
40%
Away
32%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.