How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Pakhtakor, at 65.0%. The other outcomes represent 35.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 17.4% · Draw: 17.5% · Away win: 65%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Xorazm 1496; Pakhtakor 1835. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Super League · Friday, Oct 30 2026
· 13:30
Xorazm
Elo 1496
0
-
1
Pakhtakor
Elo 1835
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
-339
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Xorazm1496
Pakhtakor1835
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Xorazm
0Draws
2Pakhtakor
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
65% conf.
CORRECT
Home
17%
Draw
18%
Away
65%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Home Clean Sheet
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Double Chance 1X
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Double Chance X2
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
CORRECT
Home
20%
Draw
40%
Away
40%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
76%
No
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
97% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
3%
No
97%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.