How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Kaluga, at 38.4%. The other outcomes represent 61.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 38.4% · Draw: 25.7% · Away win: 35.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Kaluga 1567; Volgar Astrakhan 1631. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Second League A - Division A Gold · Saturday, Oct 31 2026
· 11:00
Kaluga
Elo 1567
vs
Volgar Astrakhan
Elo 1631
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
4D
1L
Elo Advantage
-64
H2H (7)
1H
6D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Kaluga1567
Volgar Astrakhan1631
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
1Kaluga
6Draws
0Volgar Astrakhan
7 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
38% conf.
Home
38%
Draw
26%
Away
36%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Clean Sheet
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
Yes
63%
No
37%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
Home
29%
Draw
40%
Away
31%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
76% conf.
Yes
76%
No
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.