How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Novosibirsk, at 41.3%. The other outcomes represent 58.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 41.3% · Draw: 32.1% · Away win: 26.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Novosibirsk 1655; Mashuk-KMV 1638. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Second League A - Division A Gold · Saturday, Oct 31 2026
· 10:00
Novosibirsk
Elo 1655
vs
Mashuk-KMV
Elo 1638
Home Form (5)
1W
4D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Elo Advantage
+17
H2H (8)
0H
2D
6A
Elo rating comparison
Novosibirsk1655
Mashuk-KMV1638
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Novosibirsk
2Draws
6Mashuk-KMV
8 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
Home
41%
Draw
32%
Away
27%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
Home
32%
Draw
41%
Away
28%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.