How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Al Quwa Al Jawiya, at 62.6%. The other outcomes represent 37.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 62.6% · Draw: 23.1% · Away win: 14.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1711; Al Minaa Basra 1504. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Iraqi League · Thursday, Oct 29 2026
· 15:30
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Elo 1711
0
-
0
Al Minaa Basra
Elo 1504
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
+206
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Al Quwa Al Jawiya1711
Al Minaa Basra1504
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0Draws
0Al Minaa Basra
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
63% conf.
WRONG
Home
63%
Draw
23%
Away
14%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Half-Time Result
48% conf.
WRONG
Home
48%
Draw
38%
Away
14%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Over 3.5 Goals
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.