How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Inter Sibiu, at 78.3%. The other outcomes represent 21.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 78.3% · Draw: 14.5% · Away win: 7.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Inter Sibiu 1569; Carpati Covasna 1331. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 5–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga III - Serie 2 · Friday, Oct 30 2026
· 16:00
Inter Sibiu
Elo 1569
5
-
0
Carpati Covasna
Elo 1331
FT
HT 3-0
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Elo Advantage
+238
Elo rating comparison
Inter Sibiu1569
Carpati Covasna1331
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Inter Sibiu
—Draws
—Carpati Covasna
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
78% conf.
CORRECT
Home
78%
Draw
15%
Away
7%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
91% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
9%
No
91%
Home Clean Sheet
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance 1X
97% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
97%
No
3%
Double Chance X2
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Half-Time Result
60% conf.
CORRECT
Home
60%
Draw
30%
Away
10%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
90%
No
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.