How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Bayer Leverkusen U19, at 52.4%. The other outcomes represent 47.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 52.4% · Draw: 21.2% · Away win: 26.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Bayer Leverkusen U19 1804; Borussia M'bach U19 1704. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
U19 Bundesliga · Friday, Oct 30 2026
· 16:30
Bayer Leverkusen U19
Elo 1804
2
-
1
Borussia M'bach U19
Elo 1704
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
+101
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Bayer Leverkusen U191804
Borussia M'bach U191704
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Bayer Leverkusen U19
0Draws
0Borussia M'bach U19
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
52% conf.
CORRECT
Home
52%
Draw
21%
Away
26%
Both Teams to Score
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Away Clean Sheet
91% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
9%
No
91%
Home Clean Sheet
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
43%
Draw
36%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
29%
No
71%
HT Over 0.5
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
HT Over 1.5
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Over 1.5 Goals
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
88%
No
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
Over 3.5 Goals
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
No
41%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.