How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Al Wihdat, at 79.2%. The other outcomes represent 20.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 79.2% · Draw: 14.1% · Away win: 6.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Al Wihdat 1828; Al Arabi 1458. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
League · Friday, Oct 30 2026
· 16:30
Al Wihdat
Elo 1828
0
-
1
Al Arabi
Elo 1458
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
+370
Elo rating comparison
Al Wihdat1828
Al Arabi1458
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Al Wihdat
—Draws
—Al Arabi
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
79% conf.
WRONG
Home
79%
Draw
14%
Away
7%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Away Clean Sheet
92% conf.
WRONG
Yes
8%
No
92%
Home Clean Sheet
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
WRONG
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
25%
No
75%
Half-Time Result
55% conf.
WRONG
Home
55%
Draw
35%
Away
9%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Home Win to Nil
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.