How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Podlasie Biała Podlaska, at 55.5%. The other outcomes represent 44.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 55.5% · Draw: 21.1% · Away win: 23.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Podlasie Biała Podlaska 1523; Moravia Morawica 1412. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–4. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
III Liga - Group 4 · Friday, Oct 30 2026
· 17:00
Podlasie Biała Podlaska
Elo 1523
0
-
4
Moravia Morawica
Elo 1412
FT
HT 0-2
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
+111
Elo rating comparison
Podlasie Biała Podlaska1523
Moravia Morawica1412
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Podlasie Biała Podlaska
—Draws
—Moravia Morawica
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
55% conf.
WRONG
Home
55%
Draw
21%
Away
23%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
WRONG
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
WRONG
Home
45%
Draw
35%
Away
20%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Over 3.5 Goals
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.