How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Olympiakos, at 39.8%. The other outcomes represent 60.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 36.9% · Draw: 23.3% · Away win: 39.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Karmiotissa 1671; Olympiakos 1740. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
1. Division · Friday, Oct 30 2026
· 17:00
Karmiotissa
Elo 1671
1
-
0
Olympiakos
Elo 1740
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Elo Advantage
-69
Elo rating comparison
Karmiotissa1671
Olympiakos1740
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Karmiotissa
—Draws
—Olympiakos
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
40% conf.
WRONG
Home
37%
Draw
23%
Away
40%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Clean Sheet
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
17%
No
83%
Double Chance 1X
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Double Chance X2
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Half-Time Result
35% conf.
WRONG
Home
30%
Draw
35%
Away
35%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
WRONG
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.