How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Elfsborg W, at 58.4%. The other outcomes represent 41.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 58.4% · Draw: 19.6% · Away win: 22%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Elfsborg W 1699; Alingsås W 1464. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Elitettan · Friday, Oct 30 2026
· 17:30
Elfsborg W
Elo 1699
0
-
0
Alingsås W
Elo 1464
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
+235
H2H (6)
6H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Elfsborg W1699
Alingsås W1464
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
6Elfsborg W
0Draws
0Alingsås W
6 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
58% conf.
WRONG
Home
58%
Draw
20%
Away
22%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
WRONG
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Half-Time Result
52% conf.
WRONG
Home
52%
Draw
35%
Away
14%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
WRONG
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.