How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Paris Saint Germain, at 61.6%. The other outcomes represent 38.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 19.4% · Draw: 19% · Away win: 61.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Le Havre 1772; Paris Saint Germain 2294. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–5. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ligue 1 · Friday, Oct 30 2026
· 18:00
Le Havre
Elo 1772
1
-
5
Paris Saint Germain
Elo 2294
FT
HT 1-2
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Elo Advantage
-522
H2H (1)
0H
0D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Le Havre1772
Paris Saint Germain2294
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Le Havre
0Draws
1Paris Saint Germain
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
62% conf.
CORRECT
Home
19%
@ 10.07
Draw
19%
@ 6.53
Away
62%
@ 1.24
Both Teams to Score
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
@ 1.67
No
38%
Away Clean Sheet
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Home Clean Sheet
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
7%
No
93%
Double Chance 1X
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance X2
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
@ 1.06
No
14%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
CORRECT
Home
17%
@ 7.59
Draw
36%
@ 3.01
Away
46%
@ 1.60
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
@ 1.18
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
@ 1.91
No
49%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
@ 1.08
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
@ 1.32
No
29%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Win to Nil
100% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
0%
No
100%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.