How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is FC Nöttingen, at 52.1%. The other outcomes represent 47.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 52.1% · Draw: 22.2% · Away win: 25.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: FC Nöttingen 1570; 1. FC Muhlhausen 1497. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg · Friday, Oct 30 2026
· 18:00
FC Nöttingen
Elo 1570
1
-
2
1. FC Muhlhausen
Elo 1497
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
+72
Elo rating comparison
FC Nöttingen1570
1. FC Muhlhausen1497
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—FC Nöttingen
—Draws
—1. FC Muhlhausen
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
52% conf.
WRONG
Home
52%
Draw
22%
Away
26%
Both Teams to Score
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
Away Clean Sheet
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Home Clean Sheet
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
WRONG
Home
47%
Draw
29%
Away
24%
HT Both Teams Score
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
No
29%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
No
39%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.