How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, at 42.2%. The other outcomes represent 57.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 42.2% · Draw: 22.6% · Away win: 35.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 1860; Yverdon Sport 1884. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Challenge League · Friday, Oct 30 2026
· 18:30
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Elo 1860
3
-
2
Yverdon Sport
Elo 1884
FT
HT 0-2
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
-23
H2H (7)
1H
4D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy1860
Yverdon Sport1884
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
1Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
4Draws
2Yverdon Sport
7 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
CORRECT
Home
42%
Draw
23%
Away
35%
Both Teams to Score
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
No
42%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
31%
Draw
42%
Away
27%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Over 3.5 Goals
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.