How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Helmond Sport, at 47.1%. The other outcomes represent 52.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 47.1% · Draw: 21.6% · Away win: 31.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Helmond Sport 1405; FC Eindhoven 1449. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Eerste Divisie · Friday, Oct 30 2026
· 19:00
Helmond Sport
Elo 1405
3
-
2
FC Eindhoven
Elo 1449
FT
HT 0-2
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-44
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Helmond Sport1405
FC Eindhoven1449
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Helmond Sport
0Draws
2FC Eindhoven
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
47% conf.
CORRECT
Home
47%
@ 2.08
Draw
22%
@ 3.62
Away
31%
@ 3.10
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
@ 1.51
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
@ 1.33
No
35%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
@ 1.69
No
45%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
WRONG
Home
35%
@ 2.54
Draw
40%
@ 2.35
Away
25%
@ 3.52
HT Both Teams Score
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
@ 1.25
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
@ 1.16
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
@ 1.60
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.