How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Southampton U21, at 60.6%. The other outcomes represent 39.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 22.2% · Draw: 17.1% · Away win: 60.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Blackburn Rovers U21 1413; Southampton U21 1608. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League Cup · Friday, Oct 30 2026
· 19:00
Blackburn Rovers U21
Elo 1413
2
-
1
Southampton U21
Elo 1608
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
-195
H2H (3)
0H
0D
3A
Elo rating comparison
Blackburn Rovers U211413
Southampton U211608
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Blackburn Rovers U21
0Draws
3Southampton U21
3 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
61% conf.
WRONG
Home
22%
Draw
17%
Away
61%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Clean Sheet
91% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
9%
No
91%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance X2
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
76%
No
24%
Half-Time Result
48% conf.
WRONG
Home
21%
Draw
30%
Away
48%
HT Both Teams Score
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 1.5 Goals
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
88%
No
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
No
29%
Over 3.5 Goals
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Home Win to Nil
100% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
0%
No
100%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.