How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Manchester United U21, at 45.1%. The other outcomes represent 54.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 45.1% · Draw: 24.2% · Away win: 30.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Manchester United U21 1685; Monaco U21 1583. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–3. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League International Cup · Friday, Oct 30 2026
· 19:00
Manchester United U21
Elo 1685
2
-
3
Monaco U21
Elo 1583
FT
HT 0-2
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
+103
Elo rating comparison
Manchester United U211685
Monaco U211583
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Manchester United U21
—Draws
—Monaco U21
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
45% conf.
WRONG
Home
45%
Draw
24%
Away
31%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
56%
No
44%
Half-Time Result
36% conf.
WRONG
Home
36%
Draw
36%
Away
28%
HT Both Teams Score
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.