How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is SC Kriens, at 40.9%. The other outcomes represent 59.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 36.7% · Draw: 22.4% · Away win: 40.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Étoile Carouge 1689; SC Kriens 1752. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Challenge League · Friday, Oct 30 2026
· 19:15
Étoile Carouge
Elo 1689
2
-
2
SC Kriens
Elo 1752
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
-63
H2H (4)
0H
0D
4A
Elo rating comparison
Étoile Carouge1689
SC Kriens1752
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Étoile Carouge
0Draws
4SC Kriens
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
37%
Draw
22%
Away
41%
Both Teams to Score
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Half-Time Result
36% conf.
CORRECT
Home
32%
Draw
36%
Away
32%
HT Both Teams Score
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
87%
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 3.5 Goals
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Home Win to Nil
91% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
9%
No
91%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.