How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Wrexham, at 45.4%. The other outcomes represent 54.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 35% · Draw: 19.6% · Away win: 45.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sheffield Utd 1855; Wrexham 1835. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Championship · Friday, Oct 30 2026
· 20:00
Sheffield Utd
Elo 1855
1
-
0
Wrexham
Elo 1835
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
+20
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Sheffield Utd1855
Wrexham1835
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Sheffield Utd
0Draws
2Wrexham
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
45% conf.
WRONG
Home
35%
@ 2.45
Draw
20%
@ 3.30
Away
45%
@ 2.70
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
27%
No
73%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
37%
Draw
39%
Away
24%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.