How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Villarreal, at 71.7%. The other outcomes represent 28.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 71.7% · Draw: 13.5% · Away win: 14.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Villarreal 2061; Espanyol 1881. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
La Liga · Friday, Oct 30 2026
· 20:00
Villarreal
Elo 2061
0
-
1
Espanyol
Elo 1881
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
+181
Elo rating comparison
Villarreal2061
Espanyol1881
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Villarreal
—Draws
—Espanyol
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
72% conf.
WRONG
Home
72%
@ 1.56
Draw
13%
@ 4.27
Away
15%
@ 5.27
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
@ 1.65
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
91% conf.
WRONG
Yes
9%
No
91%
Home Clean Sheet
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Double Chance 1X
89% conf.
WRONG
Yes
89%
@ 1.16
No
11%
Double Chance X2
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
Half-Time Result
56% conf.
WRONG
Home
56%
@ 2.03
Draw
31%
@ 2.44
Away
12%
@ 5.18
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
@ 1.28
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
WRONG
Yes
87%
@ 1.17
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
@ 1.61
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.