How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Ibiza, at 63.4%. The other outcomes represent 36.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 63.4% · Draw: 22.3% · Away win: 14.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Ibiza 1753; Europa Fc 1662. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · Friday, Oct 30 2026
· 20:00
Ibiza
Elo 1753
3
-
0
Europa Fc
Elo 1662
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
+91
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Ibiza1753
Europa Fc1662
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Ibiza
0Draws
2Europa Fc
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
63% conf.
CORRECT
Home
63%
Draw
22%
Away
14%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
CORRECT
Home
43%
Draw
42%
Away
15%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.