How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Scotland Mabvuku, at 42.7%. The other outcomes represent 57.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 32.8% · Draw: 24.5% · Away win: 42.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: CAPS United 1634; Scotland Mabvuku 1786. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier Soccer League · Thursday, Oct 29 2026
· 13:00
CAPS United
Elo 1634
0
-
1
Scotland Mabvuku
Elo 1786
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Elo Advantage
-152
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
CAPS United1634
Scotland Mabvuku1786
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0CAPS United
0Draws
2Scotland Mabvuku
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
43% conf.
CORRECT
Home
33%
Draw
24%
Away
43%
Both Teams to Score
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Away Clean Sheet
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
40%
No
60%
Home Clean Sheet
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Half-Time Result
52% conf.
WRONG
Home
18%
Draw
52%
Away
30%
HT Both Teams Score
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
HT Over 0.5
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
HT Over 1.5
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Over 1.5 Goals
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 3.5 Goals
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.