How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Oriente Petrolero, at 45.7%. The other outcomes represent 54.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 45.7% · Draw: 29.1% · Away win: 25.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Oriente Petrolero 1621; Aurora 1608. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera División · Saturday, Oct 31 2026
· 00:00
Oriente Petrolero
Elo 1621
vs
Aurora
Elo 1608
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
+14
H2H (1)
0H
1D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Oriente Petrolero1621
Aurora1608
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Oriente Petrolero
1Draws
0Aurora
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
46% conf.
Home
46%
Draw
29%
Away
25%
Both Teams to Score
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
51% conf.
Yes
51%
No
49%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
Home
35%
Draw
40%
Away
24%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
Yes
56%
No
44%
Over 3.5 Goals
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.