How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is U.N.A.M. - Pumas, at 50.5%. The other outcomes represent 49.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 25.5% · Draw: 24% · Away win: 50.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Puebla 1487; U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1670. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga MX · Saturday, Oct 31 2026
· 03:00
Puebla
Elo 1487
vs
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Elo 1670
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Elo Advantage
-184
Elo rating comparison
Puebla1487
U.N.A.M. - Pumas1670
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Puebla
—Draws
—U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
51% conf.
Home
25%
Draw
24%
Away
51%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Clean Sheet
87% conf.
Yes
13%
No
87%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
Home
21%
Draw
36%
Away
43%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
92% conf.
Yes
8%
No
92%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.