How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Newcastle Jets, at 47.2%. The other outcomes represent 52.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 47.2% · Draw: 27.8% · Away win: 25%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Newcastle Jets 1703; Wellington Phoenix 1610. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
A-League · Saturday, Oct 31 2026
· 04:00
Newcastle Jets
Elo 1703
vs
Wellington Phoenix
Elo 1610
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
+94
Elo rating comparison
Newcastle Jets1703
Wellington Phoenix1610
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Newcastle Jets
—Draws
—Wellington Phoenix
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
47% conf.
Home
47%
@ 2.01
Draw
28%
@ 3.82
Away
25%
@ 3.26
Both Teams to Score
64% conf.
Yes
64%
@ 1.48
No
36%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
Yes
70%
@ 1.33
No
30%
Double Chance X2
54% conf.
Yes
54%
@ 1.78
No
46%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
Home
37%
@ 2.48
Draw
40%
@ 2.40
Away
22%
@ 3.53
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
Yes
73%
@ 1.24
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
Yes
87%
@ 1.16
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
66% conf.
Yes
66%
@ 1.52
No
34%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
Yes
54%
@ 2.29
No
46%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.