How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Albirex Niigata, at 39.6%. The other outcomes represent 60.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 39.6% · Draw: 23.5% · Away win: 37%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Albirex Niigata 1575; Kataller Toyama 1629. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
J2 League · Saturday, Oct 31 2026
· 05:00
Albirex Niigata
Elo 1575
vs
Kataller Toyama
Elo 1629
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
-54
H2H (1)
0H
0D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Albirex Niigata1575
Kataller Toyama1629
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Albirex Niigata
0Draws
1Kataller Toyama
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
40% conf.
Home
40%
Draw
23%
Away
37%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
62% conf.
Yes
62%
No
38%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
Home
29%
Draw
40%
Away
30%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
76% conf.
Yes
76%
No
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.