How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is CSKA Moskva W, at 80.5%. The other outcomes represent 19.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 80.5% · Draw: 12.9% · Away win: 6.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: CSKA Moskva W 1878; Krasnodar W 1408. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Supreme Division Women · Friday, Oct 30 2026
· 15:00
CSKA Moskva W
Elo 1878
4
-
2
Krasnodar W
Elo 1408
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
0W
4D
1L
Elo Advantage
+470
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
CSKA Moskva W1878
Krasnodar W1408
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2CSKA Moskva W
0Draws
0Krasnodar W
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
80% conf.
CORRECT
Home
80%
Draw
13%
Away
7%
Both Teams to Score
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
36%
No
64%
Away Clean Sheet
92% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
8%
No
92%
Home Clean Sheet
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance 1X
100% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
100%
No
0%
Double Chance X2
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Half-Time Result
54% conf.
WRONG
Home
54%
Draw
34%
Away
12%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Win to Nil
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.