How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Hapoel Migdal HaEmek, at 44.5%. The other outcomes represent 55.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 30.4% · Draw: 25.1% · Away win: 44.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Hapoel Bnei Musmus 1488; Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 1589. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–4. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Alef · Friday, Oct 30 2026
· 11:30
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Elo 1488
1
-
4
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
Elo 1589
FT
HT 0-3
Home Form (5)
0W
3D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
-101
Elo rating comparison
Hapoel Bnei Musmus1488
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek1589
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Hapoel Bnei Musmus
—Draws
—Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
45% conf.
CORRECT
Home
30%
Draw
25%
Away
45%
Both Teams to Score
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
27%
Draw
39%
Away
34%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
36%
No
64%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.