How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Oleksandria II, at 57.0%. The other outcomes represent 43.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 20.6% · Draw: 22.4% · Away win: 57%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Penuel 1279; Oleksandria II 1475. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Druha Liga · Friday, Oct 30 2026
· 10:15
Penuel
Elo 1279
1
-
0
Oleksandria II
Elo 1475
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Away Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Elo Advantage
-196
H2H (6)
0H
2D
4A
Elo rating comparison
Penuel1279
Oleksandria II1475
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Penuel
2Draws
4Oleksandria II
6 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
57% conf.
WRONG
Home
21%
Draw
22%
Away
57%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Clean Sheet
87% conf.
WRONG
Yes
13%
No
87%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
81%
No
19%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
19%
Draw
37%
Away
43%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
WRONG
Yes
11%
No
89%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.