How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Aresimi, at 42.0%. The other outcomes represent 58.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 36.8% · Draw: 21.2% · Away win: 42%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Bashkimi Kumanovo 1598; Aresimi 1687. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
First League · Monday, Nov 2 2026
· 13:00
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Elo 1598
2
-
1
Aresimi
Elo 1687
FT
HT 0-0
Elo rating comparison
Bashkimi Kumanovo1598
Aresimi1687
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Bashkimi Kumanovo
—Draws
—Aresimi
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
37%
@ 2.87
Draw
21%
@ 3.60
Away
42%
@ 2.10
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
@ 1.50
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Clean Sheet
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
@ 1.62
No
47%
Double Chance X2
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
67%
@ 1.35
No
33%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
CORRECT
Home
25%
@ 3.31
Draw
41%
@ 2.36
Away
34%
@ 2.61
HT Both Teams Score
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
70%
@ 1.24
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
@ 1.15
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
@ 1.55
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.