How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Veles, at 41.4%. The other outcomes represent 58.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 41.4% · Draw: 26.4% · Away win: 32.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Veles 1697; Spartak Kostroma 1760. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
First League · Friday, Oct 30 2026
· 15:00
Veles
Elo 1697
1
-
1
Spartak Kostroma
Elo 1760
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-63
Elo rating comparison
Veles1697
Spartak Kostroma1760
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Veles
—Draws
—Spartak Kostroma
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
41%
Draw
26%
Away
32%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
34%
Draw
42%
Away
24%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Over 3.5 Goals
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.