How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Sumqayıt, at 58.4%. The other outcomes represent 41.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 58.4% · Draw: 22.7% · Away win: 19%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sumqayıt 1606; Safa Baku 1549. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premyer Liqa · Monday, Nov 2 2026
· 15:00
Sumqayıt
Elo 1606
vs
Safa Baku
Elo 1549
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
+58
Elo rating comparison
Sumqayıt1606
Safa Baku1549
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Sumqayıt
—Draws
—Safa Baku
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
58% conf.
Home
58%
Draw
23%
Away
19%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
Home
43%
Draw
39%
Away
19%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.