How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Deportivo Garcilaso, at 39.0%. The other outcomes represent 61.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 38.6% · Draw: 22.4% · Away win: 39%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: UTC Cajamarca 1493; Deportivo Garcilaso 1695. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–3. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera División · Monday, Nov 2 2026
· 18:15
UTC Cajamarca
Elo 1493
2
-
3
Deportivo Garcilaso
Elo 1695
FT
HT 2-2
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
0L
Elo Advantage
-202
Elo rating comparison
UTC Cajamarca1493
Deportivo Garcilaso1695
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—UTC Cajamarca
—Draws
—Deportivo Garcilaso
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
CORRECT
Home
39%
@ 2.85
Draw
22%
@ 3.38
Away
39%
@ 2.31
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
56%
@ 1.60
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Clean Sheet
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
@ 1.54
No
47%
Double Chance X2
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
@ 1.38
No
33%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
CORRECT
Home
27%
@ 3.30
Draw
42%
@ 2.20
Away
31%
@ 2.87
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
@ 1.33
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
@ 1.22
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
@ 1.75
No
49%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.