How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Sporting Cristal, at 69.2%. The other outcomes represent 30.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 69.2% · Draw: 19.2% · Away win: 11.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sporting Cristal 1749; FC Cajamarca 1500. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 5–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera División · Monday, Nov 2 2026
· 20:30
Sporting Cristal
Elo 1749
5
-
0
FC Cajamarca
Elo 1500
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
0L
Elo Advantage
+248
Elo rating comparison
Sporting Cristal1749
FC Cajamarca1500
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Sporting Cristal
—Draws
—FC Cajamarca
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
69% conf.
CORRECT
Home
69%
@ 1.24
Draw
19%
@ 5.90
Away
12%
@ 9.81
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
@ 1.70
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Double Chance 1X
97% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
97%
@ 1.04
No
3%
Double Chance X2
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Half-Time Result
61% conf.
WRONG
Home
61%
@ 1.59
Draw
29%
@ 2.87
Away
10%
@ 7.66
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
80%
@ 1.19
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
@ 1.93
No
42%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
@ 1.09
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
@ 1.34
No
35%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.