How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Calor de San Pedro, at 48.5%. The other outcomes represent 51.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 48.5% · Draw: 22.8% · Away win: 28.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Calor de San Pedro 1500; Correcaminos UAT II 1495. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–4. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Premier Serie A · Friday, Oct 30 2026
· 21:30
Calor de San Pedro
Elo 1500
1
-
4
Correcaminos UAT II
Elo 1495
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
+5
Elo rating comparison
Calor de San Pedro1500
Correcaminos UAT II1495
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Calor de San Pedro
—Draws
—Correcaminos UAT II
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
49% conf.
WRONG
Home
49%
Draw
23%
Away
29%
Both Teams to Score
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
Away Clean Sheet
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Clean Sheet
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
36%
Draw
41%
Away
23%
HT Both Teams Score
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
33%
No
67%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.