How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Cruz Azul Hidalgo, at 56.1%. The other outcomes represent 43.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 56.1% · Draw: 20.9% · Away win: 23%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Cruz Azul Hidalgo 1577; Tlaxcala 1466. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga de Expansión MX · Saturday, Oct 31 2026
· 21:45
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
Elo 1577
vs
Tlaxcala
Elo 1466
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
+111
Elo rating comparison
Cruz Azul Hidalgo1577
Tlaxcala1466
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Cruz Azul Hidalgo
—Draws
—Tlaxcala
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
56% conf.
Home
56%
Draw
21%
Away
23%
Both Teams to Score
63% conf.
Yes
63%
No
37%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
Home
45%
Draw
33%
Away
22%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 3.5 Goals
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.