How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Les Astres, at 49.6%. The other outcomes represent 50.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 49.6% · Draw: 23.3% · Away win: 27.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Les Astres 1493; Kumba 1478. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Elite Two · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 14:00
Les Astres
Elo 1493
2
-
0
Kumba
Elo 1478
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+15
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Les Astres1493
Kumba1478
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Les Astres
0Draws
0Kumba
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
50% conf.
CORRECT
Home
50%
Draw
23%
Away
27%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
40%
No
60%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
37%
Draw
39%
Away
24%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.