How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Tonnerre, at 36.0%. The other outcomes represent 64.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 36% · Draw: 29.2% · Away win: 34.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Tonnerre 1495; Sable 1553. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Elite Two · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 13:00
Tonnerre
Elo 1495
2
-
0
Sable
Elo 1553
FT
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Elo Advantage
-58
H2H (4)
0H
4D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Tonnerre1495
Sable1553
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Tonnerre
4Draws
0Sable
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
36% conf.
CORRECT
Home
36%
Draw
29%
Away
35%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Away Clean Sheet
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Clean Sheet
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
28%
No
72%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
62%
No
38%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
Home
27%
Draw
43%
Away
30%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Over 1.5 Goals
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.