How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Cancún, at 51.2%. The other outcomes represent 48.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 51.2% · Draw: 23.7% · Away win: 25.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Cancún 1587; CDS Tampico Madero 1540. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga de Expansión MX · Sunday, Nov 1 2026
· 01:00
Cancún
Elo 1587
vs
CDS Tampico Madero
Elo 1540
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+46
H2H (4)
0H
2D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Cancún1587
CDS Tampico Madero1540
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Cancún
2Draws
2CDS Tampico Madero
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
51% conf.
Home
51%
Draw
24%
Away
25%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
Yes
48%
No
52%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
Home
40%
Draw
40%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.