How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Piratas, at 58.9%. The other outcomes represent 41.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 58.9% · Draw: 21.5% · Away win: 19.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Piratas 1561; Tapatío 1493. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga de Expansión MX · Sunday, Nov 1 2026
· 01:00
Piratas
Elo 1561
vs
Tapatío
Elo 1493
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
+67
Elo rating comparison
Piratas1561
Tapatío1493
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Piratas
—Draws
—Tapatío
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
59% conf.
Home
59%
Draw
22%
Away
20%
Both Teams to Score
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Away Clean Sheet
92% conf.
Yes
8%
No
92%
Home Clean Sheet
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Half-Time Result
48% conf.
Home
48%
Draw
34%
Away
18%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
66% conf.
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 3.5 Goals
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.