Ulsan Citizen vs Changwon City

K3 League · Sunday, 01 Nov 2026 · 05:00

◎1.4M+Historical matches analysed
◎900+Leagues worldwide
▦14Prediction markets
◇IAMachine learning models

Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Changwon City, at 39.5%. The other outcomes represent 60.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 36.9% · Draw: 23.6% · Away win: 39.5%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Ulsan Citizen 1455; Changwon City 1528. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

K3 League · Sunday, Nov 1 2026 · 05:00
Ulsan Citizen
Elo 1455
vs
Changwon City
Elo 1528
Home Form (5)
1W 0D 4L
Away Form (5)
1W 1D 3L
Elo Advantage
-73
H2H (2)
0H 0D 2A

Elo rating comparison

Ulsan Citizen1455
Changwon City1528

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

0Ulsan Citizen
0Draws
2Changwon City

2 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
39% conf.
Home
37%
Draw
24%
Away
39%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Clean Sheet
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
Home
28%
Draw
41%
Away
31%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

Learn more →

Recent results

Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.

Learn more →

Verified performance

Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.

Learn more →
Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

Are predictions guaranteed?

No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?

No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.