How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is JEF United Chiba, at 42.8%. The other outcomes represent 57.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 42.8% · Draw: 24.5% · Away win: 32.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: JEF United Chiba 1603; Avispa Fukuoka 1635. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
J1 League · Sunday, Nov 1 2026
· 05:00
JEF United Chiba
Elo 1603
vs
Avispa Fukuoka
Elo 1635
Home Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
-32
H2H (4)
0H
2D
2A
Elo rating comparison
JEF United Chiba1603
Avispa Fukuoka1635
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0JEF United Chiba
2Draws
2Avispa Fukuoka
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
43% conf.
Home
43%
Draw
24%
Away
33%
Both Teams to Score
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Half-Time Result
37% conf.
Home
36%
Draw
37%
Away
27%
HT Both Teams Score
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
66% conf.
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 3.5 Goals
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.